Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Wyoming is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-5.0 CSU advantage — 12-point index gap over Wyoming (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). CSU FBS average.
-5.0 CSU advantage — 12-point index gap over Wyoming (explosive pass rate and yards per target). CSU FBS average.
-2.5 CSU advantage — 6-point index gap over Wyoming (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). CSU FBS average.
-0.8 CSU advantage — 2-point index gap over Wyoming (line yards against stuff rate). CSU FBS average.
-5.5 CSU advantage — 13-point index gap over Wyoming (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). CSU FBS average.
-5.9 CSU advantage — 14-point index gap over Wyoming (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). CSU FBS average.
-6.3 CSU advantage — 15-point index gap over Wyoming (pressure differential in the trenches). CSU FBS average.
-4.6 CSU advantage — 11-point index gap over Wyoming (coverage grade against target efficiency). CSU FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.