Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Wyoming is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+3.8 WYO advantage — 9-point index gap over Central Michigan (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). WYO Below average.
+2.9 WYO advantage — 7-point index gap over Central Michigan (explosive pass rate and yards per target). WYO Below average.
Even matchup — both units index the same
+4.2 WYO advantage — 10-point index gap over Central Michigan (line yards against stuff rate). WYO Below average.
-0.4 CMU advantage — 1-point index gap over Wyoming (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). CMU Below average.
-2.1 CMU advantage — 5-point index gap over Wyoming (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). CMU Below average.
+1.3 WYO advantage — 3-point index gap over Central Michigan (pressure differential in the trenches). WYO Below average.
+3.4 WYO advantage — 8-point index gap over Central Michigan (coverage grade against target efficiency). WYO Below average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.