Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-2.1 RICE advantage — 5-point index gap over Western Michigan (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). RICE Below average.
-0.4 RICE advantage — 1-point index gap over Western Michigan (explosive pass rate and yards per target). RICE Below average.
-4.2 RICE advantage — 10-point index gap over Western Michigan (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). RICE FBS average.
-0.4 RICE advantage — 1-point index gap over Western Michigan (line yards against stuff rate). RICE FBS average.
-4.6 RICE advantage — 11-point index gap over Western Michigan (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). RICE FBS average.
-6.7 RICE advantage — 16-point index gap over Western Michigan (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). RICE FBS average.
-2.9 RICE advantage — 7-point index gap over Western Michigan (pressure differential in the trenches). RICE FBS average.
+2.1 WMU advantage — 5-point index gap over Rice (coverage grade against target efficiency). WMU FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.