Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Western Kentucky is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-11.8 IU advantage — 28-point index gap over Western Kentucky (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). IU Above average.
-12.6 IU advantage — 30-point index gap over Western Kentucky (explosive pass rate and yards per target). IU Above average.
-4.2 IU advantage — 10-point index gap over Western Kentucky (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). IU FBS average.
-3.4 IU advantage — 8-point index gap over Western Kentucky (line yards against stuff rate). IU FBS average.
-2.9 IU advantage — 7-point index gap over Western Kentucky (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). IU FBS average.
-4.6 IU advantage — 11-point index gap over Western Kentucky (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). IU FBS average.
-8.8 IU advantage — 21-point index gap over Western Kentucky (pressure differential in the trenches). IU Above average.
-13.0 IU advantage — 31-point index gap over Western Kentucky (coverage grade against target efficiency). IU Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.