Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)

Home team (Team B)

ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

Color clash detected — Western Kentucky is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.

0-2 · 45.3 PWR

96%

UGA win probability

Projected line: UGA -27.7

2-0 · 90.0 PWR

Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

41QB vs QB79

-16.0 UGA advantage — 38-point index gap over Western Kentucky (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). UGA Top 25 level.

39WR Room vs WR Room76

-15.5 UGA advantage — 37-point index gap over Western Kentucky (explosive pass rate and yards per target). UGA Top 25 level.

40RB Room vs RB Room88

-20.2 UGA advantage — 48-point index gap over Western Kentucky (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). UGA Top 25 level.

41Run Blocking vs Run Defense88

-19.7 UGA advantage — 47-point index gap over Western Kentucky (line yards against stuff rate). UGA Top 25 level.

42Offensive Line vs Pass Rush74

-13.4 UGA advantage — 32-point index gap over Western Kentucky (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). UGA Top 25 level.

39Pass Game vs Coverage75

-15.1 UGA advantage — 36-point index gap over Western Kentucky (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). UGA Top 25 level.

38Pass Rush vs Offensive Line81

-18.1 UGA advantage — 43-point index gap over Western Kentucky (pressure differential in the trenches). UGA Top 25 level.

39Coverage vs Pass Game77

-16.0 UGA advantage — 38-point index gap over Western Kentucky (coverage grade against target efficiency). UGA Top 25 level.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.