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Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)
COLO logo
Home team (Team B)
KENN logo
ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

Color clash detected โ€” Colorado is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.

COLO logoColorado
2-0 ยท 75.6 PWR
96%

COLO win probability

Projected line: COLO -15.3

KENN logoKennesaw State
1-1 ยท 50.9 PWR

Positional unit index โ€” 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average ยท 72+ = Top 25 level ยท 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

50QB vs QB33

+7.1 COLO advantage โ€” 17-point index gap over Kennesaw State (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). COLO FBS average.

50WR Room vs WR Room33

+7.1 COLO advantage โ€” 17-point index gap over Kennesaw State (explosive pass rate and yards per target). COLO FBS average.

53RB Room vs RB Room42

+4.6 COLO advantage โ€” 11-point index gap over Kennesaw State (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). COLO FBS average.

54Run Blocking vs Run Defense42

+5.0 COLO advantage โ€” 12-point index gap over Kennesaw State (line yards against stuff rate). COLO FBS average.

55Offensive Line vs Pass Rush35

+8.4 COLO advantage โ€” 20-point index gap over Kennesaw State (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). COLO FBS average.

50Pass Game vs Coverage39

+4.6 COLO advantage โ€” 11-point index gap over Kennesaw State (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). COLO FBS average.

58Pass Rush vs Offensive Line36

+9.2 COLO advantage โ€” 22-point index gap over Kennesaw State (pressure differential in the trenches). COLO Above average.

52Coverage vs Pass Game32

+8.4 COLO advantage โ€” 20-point index gap over Kennesaw State (coverage grade against target efficiency). COLO FBS average.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.