Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Wake Forest is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-2.1 PUR advantage — 5-point index gap over Wake Forest (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). PUR Above average.
-0.8 PUR advantage — 2-point index gap over Wake Forest (explosive pass rate and yards per target). PUR Above average.
+0.4 WAKE advantage — 1-point index gap over Purdue (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). WAKE FBS average.
-1.3 PUR advantage — 3-point index gap over Wake Forest (line yards against stuff rate). PUR FBS average.
-2.1 PUR advantage — 5-point index gap over Wake Forest (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). PUR Above average.
+0.8 WAKE advantage — 2-point index gap over Purdue (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). WAKE FBS average.
-2.9 PUR advantage — 7-point index gap over Wake Forest (pressure differential in the trenches). PUR FBS average.
-2.9 PUR advantage — 7-point index gap over Wake Forest (coverage grade against target efficiency). PUR Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.