Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-5.5 VT advantage — 13-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). VT Above average.
-3.4 VT advantage — 8-point index gap over Colorado (explosive pass rate and yards per target). VT Above average.
-6.3 VT advantage — 15-point index gap over Colorado (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). VT Above average.
-6.3 VT advantage — 15-point index gap over Colorado (line yards against stuff rate). VT Above average.
-8.8 VT advantage — 21-point index gap over Colorado (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). VT Top 25 level.
-5.0 VT advantage — 12-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). VT Above average.
-1.3 VT advantage — 3-point index gap over Colorado (pressure differential in the trenches). VT Above average.
-2.9 VT advantage — 7-point index gap over Colorado (coverage grade against target efficiency). VT Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.