Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-11.3 MICH advantage — 27-point index gap over UTEP (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). MICH Above average.
-11.8 MICH advantage — 28-point index gap over UTEP (explosive pass rate and yards per target). MICH Above average.
-11.8 MICH advantage — 28-point index gap over UTEP (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). MICH Above average.
-12.6 MICH advantage — 30-point index gap over UTEP (line yards against stuff rate). MICH Above average.
-16.0 MICH advantage — 38-point index gap over UTEP (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). MICH Above average.
-14.3 MICH advantage — 34-point index gap over UTEP (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). MICH Above average.
-11.8 MICH advantage — 28-point index gap over UTEP (pressure differential in the trenches). MICH Above average.
-13.4 MICH advantage — 32-point index gap over UTEP (coverage grade against target efficiency). MICH Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.