Composite projection engine
College Football Matchup Simulator
Team Selection
Color clash detected — USC is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional Comparison — 0 to 100 unit index
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+1.7 USC advantage — 4-point index gap over Indiana (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). USC Top 25 level.
Even matchup — both units index the same
+5.0 USC advantage — 12-point index gap over Indiana (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). USC Above average.
+6.7 USC advantage — 16-point index gap over Indiana (line yards against stuff rate). USC Above average.
+8.0 USC advantage — 19-point index gap over Indiana (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). USC Above average.
+8.4 USC advantage — 20-point index gap over Indiana (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). USC Above average.
+2.5 USC advantage — 6-point index gap over Indiana (pressure differential in the trenches). USC Above average.
-3.4 IU advantage — 8-point index gap over USC (coverage grade against target efficiency). IU Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.