Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-4.6 UAB advantage — 11-point index gap over UL Monroe (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). UAB Below average.
-5.5 UAB advantage — 13-point index gap over UL Monroe (explosive pass rate and yards per target). UAB Below average.
-5.5 UAB advantage — 13-point index gap over UL Monroe (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). UAB FBS average.
-2.5 UAB advantage — 6-point index gap over UL Monroe (line yards against stuff rate). UAB FBS average.
-0.8 UAB advantage — 2-point index gap over UL Monroe (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). UAB Below average.
-2.5 UAB advantage — 6-point index gap over UL Monroe (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). UAB Below average.
-6.3 UAB advantage — 15-point index gap over UL Monroe (pressure differential in the trenches). UAB FBS average.
-4.2 UAB advantage — 10-point index gap over UL Monroe (coverage grade against target efficiency). UAB Below average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.