Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-2.1 UL advantage — 5-point index gap over UAB (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). UL FBS average.
-1.7 UL advantage — 4-point index gap over UAB (explosive pass rate and yards per target). UL FBS average.
-2.1 UL advantage — 5-point index gap over UAB (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). UL FBS average.
+0.4 UAB advantage — 1-point index gap over Louisiana (line yards against stuff rate). UAB FBS average.
-0.8 UL advantage — 2-point index gap over UAB (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). UL FBS average.
-2.9 UL advantage — 7-point index gap over UAB (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). UL FBS average.
-4.6 UL advantage — 11-point index gap over UAB (pressure differential in the trenches). UL FBS average.
-4.2 UL advantage — 10-point index gap over UAB (coverage grade against target efficiency). UL FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.