Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-5.9 KSU advantage — 14-point index gap over Tulane (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). KSU Above average.
-5.9 KSU advantage — 14-point index gap over Tulane (explosive pass rate and yards per target). KSU Above average.
-6.3 KSU advantage — 15-point index gap over Tulane (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). KSU Above average.
-3.4 KSU advantage — 8-point index gap over Tulane (line yards against stuff rate). KSU FBS average.
-4.2 KSU advantage — 10-point index gap over Tulane (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). KSU FBS average.
-7.6 KSU advantage — 18-point index gap over Tulane (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). KSU Above average.
-5.9 KSU advantage — 14-point index gap over Tulane (pressure differential in the trenches). KSU Above average.
-2.1 KSU advantage — 5-point index gap over Tulane (coverage grade against target efficiency). KSU Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.