Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Tulane is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+1.7 TULN advantage — 4-point index gap over Duke (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). TULN FBS average.
Even matchup — both units index the same
-2.9 DUKE advantage — 7-point index gap over Tulane (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). DUKE FBS average.
-1.3 DUKE advantage — 3-point index gap over Tulane (line yards against stuff rate). DUKE FBS average.
-3.4 DUKE advantage — 8-point index gap over Tulane (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). DUKE FBS average.
-3.4 DUKE advantage — 8-point index gap over Tulane (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). DUKE FBS average.
-2.1 DUKE advantage — 5-point index gap over Tulane (pressure differential in the trenches). DUKE FBS average.
+4.2 TULN advantage — 10-point index gap over Duke (coverage grade against target efficiency). TULN FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.