Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Texas Tech is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+4.6 TTU advantage — 11-point index gap over Oregon State (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). TTU Above average.
+2.9 TTU advantage — 7-point index gap over Oregon State (explosive pass rate and yards per target). TTU FBS average.
+6.3 TTU advantage — 15-point index gap over Oregon State (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). TTU Above average.
+6.3 TTU advantage — 15-point index gap over Oregon State (line yards against stuff rate). TTU Above average.
+6.7 TTU advantage — 16-point index gap over Oregon State (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). TTU Above average.
+5.0 TTU advantage — 12-point index gap over Oregon State (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). TTU FBS average.
+5.5 TTU advantage — 13-point index gap over Oregon State (pressure differential in the trenches). TTU Above average.
+5.5 TTU advantage — 13-point index gap over Oregon State (coverage grade against target efficiency). TTU Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.