Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)

Home team (Team B)

ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

2-0 · 75.6 PWR

96%

UGA win probability

Projected line: UGA -8.9

2-0 · 90.0 PWR

Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

50QB vs QB79

-12.2 UGA advantage — 29-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). UGA Top 25 level.

50WR Room vs WR Room76

-10.9 UGA advantage — 26-point index gap over Colorado (explosive pass rate and yards per target). UGA Top 25 level.

53RB Room vs RB Room88

-14.7 UGA advantage — 35-point index gap over Colorado (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). UGA Top 25 level.

54Run Blocking vs Run Defense88

-14.3 UGA advantage — 34-point index gap over Colorado (line yards against stuff rate). UGA Top 25 level.

55Offensive Line vs Pass Rush74

-8.0 UGA advantage — 19-point index gap over Colorado (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). UGA Top 25 level.

50Pass Game vs Coverage75

-10.5 UGA advantage — 25-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). UGA Top 25 level.

58Pass Rush vs Offensive Line81

-9.7 UGA advantage — 23-point index gap over Colorado (pressure differential in the trenches). UGA Top 25 level.

52Coverage vs Pass Game77

-10.5 UGA advantage — 25-point index gap over Colorado (coverage grade against target efficiency). UGA Top 25 level.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.