Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)

Home team (Team B)

ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

2-0 · 81.5 PWR

86%

TENN win probability

Projected line: TENN -6.6

0-2 · 70.9 PWR

Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

69QB vs QB55

+5.9 TENN advantage — 14-point index gap over Georgia Tech (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). TENN Above average.

69WR Room vs WR Room56

+5.5 TENN advantage — 13-point index gap over Georgia Tech (explosive pass rate and yards per target). TENN Above average.

70RB Room vs RB Room46

+10.1 TENN advantage — 24-point index gap over Georgia Tech (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). TENN Above average.

69Run Blocking vs Run Defense53

+6.7 TENN advantage — 16-point index gap over Georgia Tech (line yards against stuff rate). TENN Above average.

67Offensive Line vs Pass Rush53

+5.9 TENN advantage — 14-point index gap over Georgia Tech (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). TENN Above average.

70Pass Game vs Coverage57

+5.5 TENN advantage — 13-point index gap over Georgia Tech (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). TENN Above average.

78Pass Rush vs Offensive Line49

+12.2 TENN advantage — 29-point index gap over Georgia Tech (pressure differential in the trenches). TENN Top 25 level.

75Coverage vs Pass Game56

+8.0 TENN advantage — 19-point index gap over Georgia Tech (coverage grade against target efficiency). TENN Top 25 level.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.