Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-2.9 UCLA advantage — 7-point index gap over San Diego State (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). UCLA FBS average.
-0.8 UCLA advantage — 2-point index gap over San Diego State (explosive pass rate and yards per target). UCLA FBS average.
-8.4 UCLA advantage — 20-point index gap over San Diego State (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). UCLA Above average.
-5.0 UCLA advantage — 12-point index gap over San Diego State (line yards against stuff rate). UCLA Above average.
-3.4 UCLA advantage — 8-point index gap over San Diego State (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). UCLA FBS average.
-2.5 UCLA advantage — 6-point index gap over San Diego State (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). UCLA FBS average.
-6.3 UCLA advantage — 15-point index gap over San Diego State (pressure differential in the trenches). UCLA FBS average.
-3.4 UCLA advantage — 8-point index gap over San Diego State (coverage grade against target efficiency). UCLA FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.