Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Rutgers is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+3.4 RUTG advantage — 8-point index gap over Boston College (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). RUTG FBS average.
+3.8 RUTG advantage — 9-point index gap over Boston College (explosive pass rate and yards per target). RUTG FBS average.
-2.5 BC advantage — 6-point index gap over Rutgers (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). BC FBS average.
+0.8 RUTG advantage — 2-point index gap over Boston College (line yards against stuff rate). RUTG FBS average.
-0.8 BC advantage — 2-point index gap over Rutgers (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). BC FBS average.
+2.1 RUTG advantage — 5-point index gap over Boston College (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). RUTG FBS average.
+0.4 RUTG advantage — 1-point index gap over Boston College (pressure differential in the trenches). RUTG FBS average.
Even matchup — both units index the same
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.