Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)

Home team (Team B)

ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

2-0 · 75.6 PWR

96%

COLO win probability

Projected line: COLO -9.7

1-1 · 59.9 PWR

Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

50QB vs QB45

+2.1 COLO advantage — 5-point index gap over Temple (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). COLO FBS average.

50WR Room vs WR Room44

+2.5 COLO advantage — 6-point index gap over Temple (explosive pass rate and yards per target). COLO FBS average.

53RB Room vs RB Room46

+2.9 COLO advantage — 7-point index gap over Temple (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). COLO FBS average.

54Run Blocking vs Run Defense46

+3.4 COLO advantage — 8-point index gap over Temple (line yards against stuff rate). COLO FBS average.

55Offensive Line vs Pass Rush46

+3.8 COLO advantage — 9-point index gap over Temple (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). COLO FBS average.

50Pass Game vs Coverage49

+0.4 COLO advantage — 1-point index gap over Temple (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). COLO FBS average.

58Pass Rush vs Offensive Line37

+8.8 COLO advantage — 21-point index gap over Temple (pressure differential in the trenches). COLO Above average.

52Coverage vs Pass Game44

+3.4 COLO advantage — 8-point index gap over Temple (coverage grade against target efficiency). COLO FBS average.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.