Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)

Home team (Team B)

ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

2-0 · 75.6 PWR

81%

ORE win probability

Projected line: ORE -5.7

1-1 · 84.8 PWR

Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

50QB vs QB70

-8.4 ORE advantage — 20-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). ORE Above average.

50WR Room vs WR Room72

-9.2 ORE advantage — 22-point index gap over Colorado (explosive pass rate and yards per target). ORE Top 25 level.

53RB Room vs RB Room70

-7.1 ORE advantage — 17-point index gap over Colorado (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). ORE Above average.

54Run Blocking vs Run Defense67

-5.5 ORE advantage — 13-point index gap over Colorado (line yards against stuff rate). ORE Above average.

55Offensive Line vs Pass Rush69

-5.9 ORE advantage — 14-point index gap over Colorado (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). ORE Above average.

50Pass Game vs Coverage68

-7.6 ORE advantage — 18-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). ORE Above average.

58Pass Rush vs Offensive Line71

-5.5 ORE advantage — 13-point index gap over Colorado (pressure differential in the trenches). ORE Above average.

52Coverage vs Pass Game72

-8.4 ORE advantage — 20-point index gap over Colorado (coverage grade against target efficiency). ORE Top 25 level.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.