Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+12.6 PSU advantage — 30-point index gap over Temple (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). PSU Top 25 level.
+13.0 PSU advantage — 31-point index gap over Temple (explosive pass rate and yards per target). PSU Top 25 level.
+5.5 PSU advantage — 13-point index gap over Temple (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). PSU Above average.
+7.1 PSU advantage — 17-point index gap over Temple (line yards against stuff rate). PSU Above average.
+8.8 PSU advantage — 21-point index gap over Temple (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). PSU Above average.
+10.9 PSU advantage — 26-point index gap over Temple (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). PSU Top 25 level.
+10.9 PSU advantage — 26-point index gap over Temple (pressure differential in the trenches). PSU Above average.
+9.2 PSU advantage — 22-point index gap over Temple (coverage grade against target efficiency). PSU Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.