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Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)
ODU logo
Home team (Team B)
VT logo
ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT
ODU logoOld Dominion
1-1 ยท 54.1 PWR
96%

VT win probability

Projected line: VT -14.1

VT logoVirginia Tech
2-0 ยท 76.8 PWR

Positional unit index โ€” 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average ยท 72+ = Top 25 level ยท 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

43QB vs QB63

-8.4 VT advantage โ€” 20-point index gap over Old Dominion (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). VT Above average.

44WR Room vs WR Room58

-5.9 VT advantage โ€” 14-point index gap over Old Dominion (explosive pass rate and yards per target). VT Above average.

39RB Room vs RB Room68

-12.2 VT advantage โ€” 29-point index gap over Old Dominion (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). VT Above average.

37Run Blocking vs Run Defense69

-13.4 VT advantage โ€” 32-point index gap over Old Dominion (line yards against stuff rate). VT Above average.

34Offensive Line vs Pass Rush76

-17.6 VT advantage โ€” 42-point index gap over Old Dominion (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). VT Top 25 level.

44Pass Game vs Coverage62

-7.6 VT advantage โ€” 18-point index gap over Old Dominion (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). VT Above average.

47Pass Rush vs Offensive Line61

-5.9 VT advantage โ€” 14-point index gap over Old Dominion (pressure differential in the trenches). VT Above average.

46Coverage vs Pass Game59

-5.5 VT advantage โ€” 13-point index gap over Old Dominion (coverage grade against target efficiency). VT Above average.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.