Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-11.8 NEB advantage — 28-point index gap over Ohio (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). NEB Above average.
-11.3 NEB advantage — 27-point index gap over Ohio (explosive pass rate and yards per target). NEB Above average.
-10.5 NEB advantage — 25-point index gap over Ohio (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). NEB Above average.
-5.0 NEB advantage — 12-point index gap over Ohio (line yards against stuff rate). NEB FBS average.
-9.2 NEB advantage — 22-point index gap over Ohio (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). NEB Above average.
-12.2 NEB advantage — 29-point index gap over Ohio (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). NEB Above average.
-9.7 NEB advantage — 23-point index gap over Ohio (pressure differential in the trenches). NEB Above average.
-10.9 NEB advantage — 26-point index gap over Ohio (coverage grade against target efficiency). NEB Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.