Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Navy is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-12.6 FAU advantage — 30-point index gap over Navy (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). FAU Below average.
-14.3 FAU advantage — 34-point index gap over Navy (explosive pass rate and yards per target). FAU FBS average.
-8.8 FAU advantage — 21-point index gap over Navy (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). FAU FBS average.
-5.5 FAU advantage — 13-point index gap over Navy (line yards against stuff rate). FAU Below average.
-8.4 FAU advantage — 20-point index gap over Navy (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). FAU Below average.
-12.6 FAU advantage — 30-point index gap over Navy (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). FAU Below average.
-11.8 FAU advantage — 28-point index gap over Navy (pressure differential in the trenches). FAU FBS average.
-12.2 FAU advantage — 29-point index gap over Navy (coverage grade against target efficiency). FAU Below average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.