Composite projection engine
College Football Matchup Simulator
Team Selection
Color clash detected — Michigan is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional Comparison — 0 to 100 unit index
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-2.5 ORE advantage — 6-point index gap over Michigan (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). ORE Above average.
-3.8 ORE advantage — 9-point index gap over Michigan (explosive pass rate and yards per target). ORE Top 25 level.
-2.1 ORE advantage — 5-point index gap over Michigan (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). ORE Above average.
Even matchup — both units index the same
-1.3 ORE advantage — 3-point index gap over Michigan (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). ORE Above average.
-2.1 ORE advantage — 5-point index gap over Michigan (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). ORE Above average.
-1.7 ORE advantage — 4-point index gap over Michigan (pressure differential in the trenches). ORE Above average.
-0.8 ORE advantage — 2-point index gap over Michigan (coverage grade against target efficiency). ORE Top 25 level.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.