Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)

Home team (Team B)

ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

2-0 · 84.8 PWR

92%

MIA win probability

Projected line: MIA -7.6

2-0 · 72.5 PWR

Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

75QB vs QB54

+8.8 MIA advantage — 21-point index gap over Wake Forest (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). MIA Top 25 level.

73WR Room vs WR Room57

+6.7 MIA advantage — 16-point index gap over Wake Forest (explosive pass rate and yards per target). MIA Top 25 level.

62RB Room vs RB Room54

+3.4 MIA advantage — 8-point index gap over Wake Forest (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). MIA Above average.

63Run Blocking vs Run Defense52

+4.6 MIA advantage — 11-point index gap over Wake Forest (line yards against stuff rate). MIA Above average.

70Offensive Line vs Pass Rush49

+8.8 MIA advantage — 21-point index gap over Wake Forest (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). MIA Above average.

74Pass Game vs Coverage52

+9.2 MIA advantage — 22-point index gap over Wake Forest (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). MIA Top 25 level.

60Pass Rush vs Offensive Line55

+2.1 MIA advantage — 5-point index gap over Wake Forest (pressure differential in the trenches). MIA Above average.

64Coverage vs Pass Game57

+2.9 MIA advantage — 7-point index gap over Wake Forest (coverage grade against target efficiency). MIA Above average.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.