Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+9.7 MIA advantage — 23-point index gap over Stanford (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). MIA Top 25 level.
+8.8 MIA advantage — 21-point index gap over Stanford (explosive pass rate and yards per target). MIA Top 25 level.
+3.8 MIA advantage — 9-point index gap over Stanford (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). MIA Above average.
+5.0 MIA advantage — 12-point index gap over Stanford (line yards against stuff rate). MIA Above average.
+8.8 MIA advantage — 21-point index gap over Stanford (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). MIA Above average.
+10.1 MIA advantage — 24-point index gap over Stanford (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). MIA Top 25 level.
+2.1 MIA advantage — 5-point index gap over Stanford (pressure differential in the trenches). MIA Above average.
+5.0 MIA advantage — 12-point index gap over Stanford (coverage grade against target efficiency). MIA Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.