Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Massachusetts is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-2.9 RUTG advantage — 7-point index gap over Massachusetts (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). RUTG FBS average.
-5.5 RUTG advantage — 13-point index gap over Massachusetts (explosive pass rate and yards per target). RUTG FBS average.
-0.4 RUTG advantage — 1-point index gap over Massachusetts (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). RUTG FBS average.
-2.5 RUTG advantage — 6-point index gap over Massachusetts (line yards against stuff rate). RUTG FBS average.
-1.3 RUTG advantage — 3-point index gap over Massachusetts (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). RUTG FBS average.
-0.8 RUTG advantage — 2-point index gap over Massachusetts (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). RUTG FBS average.
Even matchup — both units index the same
-6.3 RUTG advantage — 15-point index gap over Massachusetts (coverage grade against target efficiency). RUTG FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.