Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — LSU is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+1.7 LSU advantage — 4-point index gap over Ole Miss (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). LSU Above average.
+0.8 LSU advantage — 2-point index gap over Ole Miss (explosive pass rate and yards per target). LSU Above average.
+4.2 LSU advantage — 10-point index gap over Ole Miss (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). LSU Above average.
+5.9 LSU advantage — 14-point index gap over Ole Miss (line yards against stuff rate). LSU Top 25 level.
+4.2 LSU advantage — 10-point index gap over Ole Miss (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). LSU Top 25 level.
+4.6 LSU advantage — 11-point index gap over Ole Miss (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). LSU Above average.
+4.6 LSU advantage — 11-point index gap over Ole Miss (pressure differential in the trenches). LSU Top 25 level.
+5.0 LSU advantage — 12-point index gap over Ole Miss (coverage grade against target efficiency). LSU Top 25 level.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.