Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)

Home team (Team B)

ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

Color clash detected — Louisiana Tech is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.

1-1 · 54.7 PWR

96%

LSU win probability

Projected line: LSU -21.1

2-0 · 88.7 PWR

Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

57QB vs QB68

-4.6 LSU advantage — 11-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). LSU Above average.

59WR Room vs WR Room67

-3.4 LSU advantage — 8-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (explosive pass rate and yards per target). LSU Above average.

51RB Room vs RB Room71

-8.4 LSU advantage — 20-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). LSU Above average.

50Run Blocking vs Run Defense81

-13.0 LSU advantage — 31-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (line yards against stuff rate). LSU Top 25 level.

51Offensive Line vs Pass Rush77

-10.9 LSU advantage — 26-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). LSU Top 25 level.

59Pass Game vs Coverage77

-7.6 LSU advantage — 18-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). LSU Top 25 level.

44Pass Rush vs Offensive Line72

-11.8 LSU advantage — 28-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (pressure differential in the trenches). LSU Top 25 level.

45Coverage vs Pass Game68

-9.7 LSU advantage — 23-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (coverage grade against target efficiency). LSU Above average.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.