Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Louisiana Tech is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+2.1 LT advantage — 5-point index gap over Baylor (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). LT FBS average.
+2.5 LT advantage — 6-point index gap over Baylor (explosive pass rate and yards per target). LT Above average.
+2.1 LT advantage — 5-point index gap over Baylor (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). LT FBS average.
-2.1 BAY advantage — 5-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (line yards against stuff rate). BAY FBS average.
-3.4 BAY advantage — 8-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). BAY Above average.
+1.3 LT advantage — 3-point index gap over Baylor (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). LT Above average.
-4.2 BAY advantage — 10-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (pressure differential in the trenches). BAY FBS average.
-2.9 BAY advantage — 7-point index gap over Louisiana Tech (coverage grade against target efficiency). BAY FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.