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Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)
UL logo
Home team (Team B)
USC logo
ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

Color clash detected โ€” Louisiana is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.

UL logoLouisiana
1-1 ยท 60.9 PWR
96%

USC win probability

Projected line: USC -12.9

USC logoUSC
3-0 ยท 81.7 PWR

Positional unit index โ€” 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average ยท 72+ = Top 25 level ยท 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

45QB vs QB73

-11.8 USC advantage โ€” 28-point index gap over Louisiana (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). USC Top 25 level.

45WR Room vs WR Room69

-10.1 USC advantage โ€” 24-point index gap over Louisiana (explosive pass rate and yards per target). USC Above average.

51RB Room vs RB Room62

-4.6 USC advantage โ€” 11-point index gap over Louisiana (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). USC Above average.

49Run Blocking vs Run Defense69

-8.4 USC advantage โ€” 20-point index gap over Louisiana (line yards against stuff rate). USC Above average.

47Offensive Line vs Pass Rush65

-7.6 USC advantage โ€” 18-point index gap over Louisiana (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). USC Above average.

45Pass Game vs Coverage62

-7.1 USC advantage โ€” 17-point index gap over Louisiana (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). USC Above average.

48Pass Rush vs Offensive Line68

-8.4 USC advantage โ€” 20-point index gap over Louisiana (pressure differential in the trenches). USC Above average.

48Coverage vs Pass Game70

-9.2 USC advantage โ€” 22-point index gap over Louisiana (coverage grade against target efficiency). USC Above average.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.