Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-5.5 KU advantage — 13-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). KU Above average.
-4.6 KU advantage — 11-point index gap over Colorado (explosive pass rate and yards per target). KU Above average.
-1.7 KU advantage — 4-point index gap over Colorado (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). KU FBS average.
-5.9 KU advantage — 14-point index gap over Colorado (line yards against stuff rate). KU Above average.
-2.1 KU advantage — 5-point index gap over Colorado (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). KU Above average.
-2.9 KU advantage — 7-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). KU FBS average.
-0.8 KU advantage — 2-point index gap over Colorado (pressure differential in the trenches). KU Above average.
-4.2 KU advantage — 10-point index gap over Colorado (coverage grade against target efficiency). KU Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.