Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Liberty is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+2.1 LIB advantage — 5-point index gap over James Madison (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). LIB FBS average.
+2.1 LIB advantage — 5-point index gap over James Madison (explosive pass rate and yards per target). LIB FBS average.
-0.8 JMU advantage — 2-point index gap over Liberty (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). JMU FBS average.
+0.4 LIB advantage — 1-point index gap over James Madison (line yards against stuff rate). LIB FBS average.
+3.4 LIB advantage — 8-point index gap over James Madison (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). LIB FBS average.
+2.9 LIB advantage — 7-point index gap over James Madison (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). LIB FBS average.
-1.3 JMU advantage — 3-point index gap over Liberty (pressure differential in the trenches). JMU FBS average.
+1.7 LIB advantage — 4-point index gap over James Madison (coverage grade against target efficiency). LIB FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.