Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-1.3 TA&M advantage — 3-point index gap over Kentucky (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). TA&M Above average.
-1.3 TA&M advantage — 3-point index gap over Kentucky (explosive pass rate and yards per target). TA&M Above average.
-1.7 TA&M advantage — 4-point index gap over Kentucky (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). TA&M Above average.
-3.8 TA&M advantage — 9-point index gap over Kentucky (line yards against stuff rate). TA&M Top 25 level.
-2.1 TA&M advantage — 5-point index gap over Kentucky (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). TA&M Above average.
-5.0 TA&M advantage — 12-point index gap over Kentucky (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). TA&M Top 25 level.
-5.0 TA&M advantage — 12-point index gap over Kentucky (pressure differential in the trenches). TA&M Above average.
-3.8 TA&M advantage — 9-point index gap over Kentucky (coverage grade against target efficiency). TA&M Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.