Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-16.0 SC advantage — 38-point index gap over Kent State (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). SC Above average.
-13.4 SC advantage — 32-point index gap over Kent State (explosive pass rate and yards per target). SC Above average.
-15.1 SC advantage — 36-point index gap over Kent State (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). SC Above average.
-11.8 SC advantage — 28-point index gap over Kent State (line yards against stuff rate). SC Above average.
-9.7 SC advantage — 23-point index gap over Kent State (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). SC Above average.
-13.4 SC advantage — 32-point index gap over Kent State (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). SC Above average.
-14.7 SC advantage — 35-point index gap over Kent State (pressure differential in the trenches). SC Above average.
-16.4 SC advantage — 39-point index gap over Kent State (coverage grade against target efficiency). SC Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.