Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Kennesaw State is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
TENN win probability
Projected line: TENN -19.0
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-15.1 TENN advantage — 36-point index gap over Kennesaw State (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). TENN Above average.
-15.1 TENN advantage — 36-point index gap over Kennesaw State (explosive pass rate and yards per target). TENN Above average.
-11.8 TENN advantage — 28-point index gap over Kennesaw State (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). TENN Above average.
-10.5 TENN advantage — 25-point index gap over Kennesaw State (line yards against stuff rate). TENN Above average.
-17.6 TENN advantage — 42-point index gap over Kennesaw State (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). TENN Top 25 level.
-18.1 TENN advantage — 43-point index gap over Kennesaw State (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). TENN Top 25 level.
-13.4 TENN advantage — 32-point index gap over Kennesaw State (pressure differential in the trenches). TENN Above average.
-13.0 TENN advantage — 31-point index gap over Kennesaw State (coverage grade against target efficiency). TENN Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.