Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
GASO win probability
Projected line: GASO -7.2
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+2.1 GASO advantage — 5-point index gap over Jacksonville State (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). GASO FBS average.
+1.3 GASO advantage — 3-point index gap over Jacksonville State (explosive pass rate and yards per target). GASO FBS average.
+4.6 GASO advantage — 11-point index gap over Jacksonville State (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). GASO FBS average.
+5.9 GASO advantage — 14-point index gap over Jacksonville State (line yards against stuff rate). GASO FBS average.
+3.8 GASO advantage — 9-point index gap over Jacksonville State (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). GASO FBS average.
+1.3 GASO advantage — 3-point index gap over Jacksonville State (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). GASO FBS average.
+10.5 GASO advantage — 25-point index gap over Jacksonville State (pressure differential in the trenches). GASO Above average.
+7.1 GASO advantage — 17-point index gap over Jacksonville State (coverage grade against target efficiency). GASO Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.