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Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)
GASO logo
Home team (Team B)
CLEM logo
ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT
GASO logoGeorgia Southern
1-1 ยท 61.8 PWR
96%

CLEM win probability

Projected line: CLEM -8.4

CLEM logoClemson
1-1 ยท 75.3 PWR

Positional unit index โ€” 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average ยท 72+ = Top 25 level ยท 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

48QB vs QB50

-0.8 CLEM advantage โ€” 2-point index gap over Georgia Southern (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). CLEM FBS average.

47WR Room vs WR Room54

-2.9 CLEM advantage โ€” 7-point index gap over Georgia Southern (explosive pass rate and yards per target). CLEM FBS average.

50RB Room vs RB Room52

-0.8 CLEM advantage โ€” 2-point index gap over Georgia Southern (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). CLEM FBS average.

54Run Blocking vs Run Defense56

-0.8 CLEM advantage โ€” 2-point index gap over Georgia Southern (line yards against stuff rate). CLEM FBS average.

51Offensive Line vs Pass Rush59

-3.4 CLEM advantage โ€” 8-point index gap over Georgia Southern (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). CLEM Above average.

47Pass Game vs Coverage61

-5.9 CLEM advantage โ€” 14-point index gap over Georgia Southern (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). CLEM Above average.

66Pass Rush vs Offensive Line49

+7.1 GASO advantage โ€” 17-point index gap over Clemson (pressure differential in the trenches). GASO Above average.

61Coverage vs Pass Game53

+3.4 GASO advantage โ€” 8-point index gap over Clemson (coverage grade against target efficiency). GASO Above average.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.