Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator


CLEM win probability
Projected line: CLEM -8.4
Positional unit index โ 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average ยท 72+ = Top 25 level ยท 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-0.8 CLEM advantage โ 2-point index gap over Georgia Southern (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). CLEM FBS average.
-2.9 CLEM advantage โ 7-point index gap over Georgia Southern (explosive pass rate and yards per target). CLEM FBS average.
-0.8 CLEM advantage โ 2-point index gap over Georgia Southern (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). CLEM FBS average.
-0.8 CLEM advantage โ 2-point index gap over Georgia Southern (line yards against stuff rate). CLEM FBS average.
-3.4 CLEM advantage โ 8-point index gap over Georgia Southern (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). CLEM Above average.
-5.9 CLEM advantage โ 14-point index gap over Georgia Southern (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). CLEM Above average.
+7.1 GASO advantage โ 17-point index gap over Clemson (pressure differential in the trenches). GASO Above average.
+3.4 GASO advantage โ 8-point index gap over Clemson (coverage grade against target efficiency). GASO Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.