Composite projection engine

Matchup Simulator

Away team (Team A)

Home team (Team B)

ABC| Sat 1:30 PM MT

Color clash detected — Georgia is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.

2-0 · 90.0 PWR

96%

UGA win probability

Projected line: UGA -12.8

1-1 · 69.4 PWR

Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale

50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.

79QB vs QB59

+8.4 UGA advantage — 20-point index gap over Arkansas (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). UGA Top 25 level.

76WR Room vs WR Room56

+8.4 UGA advantage — 20-point index gap over Arkansas (explosive pass rate and yards per target). UGA Top 25 level.

88RB Room vs RB Room52

+15.1 UGA advantage — 36-point index gap over Arkansas (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). UGA Top 25 level.

86Run Blocking vs Run Defense59

+11.3 UGA advantage — 27-point index gap over Arkansas (line yards against stuff rate). UGA Top 25 level.

81Offensive Line vs Pass Rush59

+9.2 UGA advantage — 22-point index gap over Arkansas (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). UGA Top 25 level.

77Pass Game vs Coverage61

+6.7 UGA advantage — 16-point index gap over Arkansas (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). UGA Top 25 level.

74Pass Rush vs Offensive Line55

+8.0 UGA advantage — 19-point index gap over Arkansas (pressure differential in the trenches). UGA Top 25 level.

75Coverage vs Pass Game57

+7.6 UGA advantage — 18-point index gap over Arkansas (coverage grade against target efficiency). UGA Top 25 level.

Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.