Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Florida Atlantic is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-13.0 FLA advantage — 31-point index gap over Florida Atlantic (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). FLA Top 25 level.
-12.6 FLA advantage — 30-point index gap over Florida Atlantic (explosive pass rate and yards per target). FLA Top 25 level.
-10.5 FLA advantage — 25-point index gap over Florida Atlantic (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). FLA Top 25 level.
-2.5 FLA advantage — 6-point index gap over Florida Atlantic (line yards against stuff rate). FLA FBS average.
-7.1 FLA advantage — 17-point index gap over Florida Atlantic (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). FLA Above average.
-11.3 FLA advantage — 27-point index gap over Florida Atlantic (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). FLA Above average.
-10.9 FLA advantage — 26-point index gap over Florida Atlantic (pressure differential in the trenches). FLA Above average.
-15.1 FLA advantage — 36-point index gap over Florida Atlantic (coverage grade against target efficiency). FLA Top 25 level.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.