Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-10.5 MIA advantage — 25-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). MIA Top 25 level.
-9.7 MIA advantage — 23-point index gap over Colorado (explosive pass rate and yards per target). MIA Top 25 level.
-3.8 MIA advantage — 9-point index gap over Colorado (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). MIA Above average.
-4.2 MIA advantage — 10-point index gap over Colorado (line yards against stuff rate). MIA Above average.
-2.1 MIA advantage — 5-point index gap over Colorado (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). MIA Above average.
-5.9 MIA advantage — 14-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). MIA Above average.
-5.0 MIA advantage — 12-point index gap over Colorado (pressure differential in the trenches). MIA Above average.
-9.2 MIA advantage — 22-point index gap over Colorado (coverage grade against target efficiency). MIA Top 25 level.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.