Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+5.5 FLA advantage — 13-point index gap over Auburn (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). FLA Top 25 level.
+5.5 FLA advantage — 13-point index gap over Auburn (explosive pass rate and yards per target). FLA Top 25 level.
+5.9 FLA advantage — 14-point index gap over Auburn (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). FLA Top 25 level.
+0.4 FLA advantage — 1-point index gap over Auburn (line yards against stuff rate). FLA Above average.
+2.9 FLA advantage — 7-point index gap over Auburn (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). FLA Above average.
+4.6 FLA advantage — 11-point index gap over Auburn (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). FLA Top 25 level.
+3.4 FLA advantage — 8-point index gap over Auburn (pressure differential in the trenches). FLA Above average.
+3.8 FLA advantage — 9-point index gap over Auburn (coverage grade against target efficiency). FLA Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.