Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
WIS win probability
Projected line: WIS -10.3
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-6.3 WIS advantage — 15-point index gap over Eastern Michigan (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). WIS FBS average.
-6.3 WIS advantage — 15-point index gap over Eastern Michigan (explosive pass rate and yards per target). WIS FBS average.
-4.6 WIS advantage — 11-point index gap over Eastern Michigan (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). WIS FBS average.
-5.0 WIS advantage — 12-point index gap over Eastern Michigan (line yards against stuff rate). WIS FBS average.
-3.8 WIS advantage — 9-point index gap over Eastern Michigan (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). WIS FBS average.
-5.5 WIS advantage — 13-point index gap over Eastern Michigan (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). WIS FBS average.
-4.6 WIS advantage — 11-point index gap over Eastern Michigan (pressure differential in the trenches). WIS FBS average.
-4.2 WIS advantage — 10-point index gap over Eastern Michigan (coverage grade against target efficiency). WIS FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.