Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+15.5 COLO advantage — 37-point index gap over Air Force (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). COLO FBS average.
+16.4 COLO advantage — 39-point index gap over Air Force (explosive pass rate and yards per target). COLO FBS average.
+10.5 COLO advantage — 25-point index gap over Air Force (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). COLO FBS average.
+13.4 COLO advantage — 32-point index gap over Air Force (line yards against stuff rate). COLO FBS average.
+14.3 COLO advantage — 34-point index gap over Air Force (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). COLO FBS average.
+9.2 COLO advantage — 22-point index gap over Air Force (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). COLO FBS average.
+14.3 COLO advantage — 34-point index gap over Air Force (pressure differential in the trenches). COLO Above average.
+17.6 COLO advantage — 42-point index gap over Air Force (coverage grade against target efficiency). COLO FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.