Composite projection engine
College Football Matchup Simulator
Team Selection
Positional Comparison — 0 to 100 unit index
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-14.3 MIA advantage — 34-point index gap over Duke (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). MIA Top 25 level.
-12.2 MIA advantage — 29-point index gap over Duke (explosive pass rate and yards per target). MIA Top 25 level.
-5.0 MIA advantage — 12-point index gap over Duke (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). MIA Above average.
-5.9 MIA advantage — 14-point index gap over Duke (line yards against stuff rate). MIA Above average.
-3.8 MIA advantage — 9-point index gap over Duke (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). MIA Above average.
-8.8 MIA advantage — 21-point index gap over Duke (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). MIA Above average.
-6.7 MIA advantage — 16-point index gap over Duke (pressure differential in the trenches). MIA Above average.
-8.8 MIA advantage — 21-point index gap over Duke (coverage grade against target efficiency). MIA Top 25 level.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.