Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-7.1 VAN advantage — 17-point index gap over Delaware (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). VAN FBS average.
-5.9 VAN advantage — 14-point index gap over Delaware (explosive pass rate and yards per target). VAN FBS average.
-10.5 VAN advantage — 25-point index gap over Delaware (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). VAN FBS average.
-10.5 VAN advantage — 25-point index gap over Delaware (line yards against stuff rate). VAN FBS average.
-11.8 VAN advantage — 28-point index gap over Delaware (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). VAN Above average.
-8.0 VAN advantage — 19-point index gap over Delaware (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). VAN FBS average.
-10.5 VAN advantage — 25-point index gap over Delaware (pressure differential in the trenches). VAN FBS average.
-7.6 VAN advantage — 18-point index gap over Delaware (coverage grade against target efficiency). VAN FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.