Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator


Color clash detected โ Coastal Carolina is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
CCU win probability
Projected line: CCU -6.1
Positional unit index โ 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average ยท 72+ = Top 25 level ยท 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
+4.2 CCU advantage โ 10-point index gap over Delaware (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). CCU FBS average.
+4.6 CCU advantage โ 11-point index gap over Delaware (explosive pass rate and yards per target). CCU FBS average.
+2.9 CCU advantage โ 7-point index gap over Delaware (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). CCU Below average.
Even matchup โ both units index the same
+2.9 CCU advantage โ 7-point index gap over Delaware (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). CCU Below average.
+6.3 CCU advantage โ 15-point index gap over Delaware (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). CCU FBS average.
+3.8 CCU advantage โ 9-point index gap over Delaware (pressure differential in the trenches). CCU FBS average.
+0.8 CCU advantage โ 2-point index gap over Delaware (coverage grade against target efficiency). CCU Below average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.