Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-7.6 LSU advantage — 18-point index gap over Clemson (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). LSU Above average.
-5.5 LSU advantage — 13-point index gap over Clemson (explosive pass rate and yards per target). LSU Above average.
-8.0 LSU advantage — 19-point index gap over Clemson (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). LSU Above average.
-14.3 LSU advantage — 34-point index gap over Clemson (line yards against stuff rate). LSU Top 25 level.
-11.8 LSU advantage — 28-point index gap over Clemson (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). LSU Top 25 level.
-10.1 LSU advantage — 24-point index gap over Clemson (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). LSU Top 25 level.
-5.5 LSU advantage — 13-point index gap over Clemson (pressure differential in the trenches). LSU Top 25 level.
-2.9 LSU advantage — 7-point index gap over Clemson (coverage grade against target efficiency). LSU Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.